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Profit Factor, Recovery Factor & Sharpe Ratio in MT5 Explained

BY AXIFLARE RESEARCHPUBLISHED UPDATED

The MetaTrader 5 Strategy Tester report lists many statistics. Each one describes a different aspect of historical behaviour, and any of them can look attractive in isolation. This guide explains the most common metrics and how to read them together.

Why one metric is never enough

Profit, consistency, cost of losses and depth of drawdown are separate questions. A strategy can score well on one and poorly on another, so a single figure rarely describes its risk profile.

Net Profit

Net Profit is total gross profit minus total gross loss over the test. It says how much the strategy made, but very little about the risk it took to make it.

Profit Factor

Profit Factor is gross profit divided by gross loss. A value above 1 means gross profit exceeded gross loss historically. There is no universal "good" value, and the figure depends heavily on sample size: a small number of trades can produce a high Profit Factor by chance.

Recovery Factor

In the MetaTrader 5 Strategy Tester, Recovery Factor relates Net Profit to maximum balance drawdown in monetary terms. It does not use equity drawdown, so a strategy with large floating losses can still show a strong Recovery Factor. See balance vs equity drawdown in MT5.

Sharpe Ratio

Sharpe Ratio relates returns to their variability. In the MetaTrader 5 Strategy Tester, the risk-free rate used in the Sharpe Ratio calculation is assumed to be zero. Higher values mean returns were smoother relative to their size, not that the strategy was safe. Calculation and interpretation can differ across platforms, so read it alongside drawdown and the other metrics rather than on its own.

Expected Payoff

Expected Payoff is the average historical result per trade. A positive value can still coexist with substantial drawdown, for example when many small gains are interrupted by occasional large losses.

Win Rate

A high win rate does not automatically mean a better strategy. What matters is how it combines with average win, average loss and how losses are distributed. A system that wins often but occasionally loses heavily can have a worse risk profile than one that wins less often with smaller losses.

Trade Count

Trade count is the sample size behind every other statistic. Metrics based on very few trades are less informative, because chance has a larger influence.

Balance Drawdown

Balance drawdown measures peak-to-trough declines in account balance, which reflects realised results during a normal test.

Equity Drawdown

Equity drawdown also includes floating P/L from open positions, so it can reveal risk a balance curve hides. The dedicated drawdown guide covers this in detail.

Relative vs monetary drawdown

MT5 reports drawdown both in money and as a percentage. The percentage makes drawdown easier to compare on a scale-adjusted basis, provided the position-sizing model and other test conditions are also comparable; the money figure shows the actual amount at stake. Both provide useful context, and the largest of each can come from different points in the test.

Reading metrics together

READING METRICS TOGETHER
METRICWHAT IT HELPS DESCRIBEWHAT IT CANNOT TELL YOU ALONE
Net ProfitTotal historical resultThe risk taken to earn it
Profit FactorGross profit relative to gross lossDrawdown depth or sample reliability
Recovery FactorNet profit relative to maximum balance drawdownFloating equity risk
Sharpe RatioReturn relative to variabilityTail losses or overall safety
Expected PayoffAverage result per tradeHow results are distributed
Win RateShare of winning tradesSize of wins versus losses
Trade CountSample size behind the statisticsWhether the trades were profitable
Balance DrawdownPeak-to-trough decline in balanceFloating losses on open positions
Equity DrawdownPeak-to-trough decline including floating P/LFuture risk or live execution effects

Example of a misleading interpretation

Illustrative example only; not based on any real strategy or AXIFLARE product.

Strategy A has a high win rate but a deep equity drawdown, because it holds losing positions until they recover. Strategy B has a lower win rate and a much smaller drawdown, because it closes losing trades early. Judged by win rate alone, A looks better. Judged by drawdown alone, B showed a much smaller historical drawdown in this illustrative example. Which is preferable depends on your risk tolerance, and win rate alone cannot answer that.

A practical evaluation workflow

  • Start with balance and equity drawdown.
  • Check the trade count.
  • Read Profit Factor.
  • Read Recovery Factor.
  • Check Expected Payoff.
  • Consider Sharpe Ratio.
  • Look at the equity curve.
  • Review the backtest methodology.

Final perspective

Metrics are descriptions of a past test, not predictions. Read them together, and read them in light of how the test was run: see how to backtest an EA in MT5 and how to evaluate an XAUUSD EA. Please also read our Risk Disclosure.

Reference: MetaTrader 5 tester report statistics.

Educational content only. Nothing in this guide constitutes investment advice. Trading involves substantial risk.